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Actor-politician Vijay’s TVK is delivering a political earthquake in the Tamil Nadu Assembly Election 2026, leading in 107 constituencies and emerging ahead of both Dravidian heavyweights DMK and AIADMK+. With the majority mark at 118, Tamil Nadu is witnessing one of its most dramatic and closely fought verdicts in recent years.

Latest Election Commission figures show TVK leading in 107 segments and in second place in 55 constituencies, firmly placing the new entrant at the centre of the electoral battle. The ruling DMK is ahead in 57 segments, while AIADMK is leading in 51.

In several constituencies, the margins remain extremely tight, with TVK candidates trailing by less than 1,000 votes in at least six seats, underscoring how neck-and-neck the contest has become across Tamil Nadu.

Vijay’s party surges across Tamil Nadu
The surge places Vijay within striking distance of power in his very first Assembly election battle, an outcome few had anticipated before polling day. His party’s strong performance spans northern, central and southern Tamil Nadu, including Chennai, Chengalpattu, Kancheepuram, Thiruvallur, Tiruchirappalli, Thanjavur, Madurai, Dindigul, Theni, Virudhunagar, Tirunelveli and Kanyakumari regions.

Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) supporters celebrate during vote tabulation on the day of Assembly election results, in Chennai, Monday, May 4, 2026. Photo: PTI
Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) supporters celebrate during vote tabulation on the day of Assembly election results, in Chennai, Monday, May 4, 2026. Photo: PTI
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TVK has also made significant inroads into Chennai-region constituencies, traditionally considered DMK strongholds, marking a sharp shift in urban voting patterns.

In some of the closest contests, TVK candidates in Kumbakonam, Sholavandan and Vikravandi are trailing by razor-thin margins of under 100–102 votes, reflecting the intensity of the three-way battle across the state.

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Historic upset narrative builds
If the trends hold, Vijay could pull off one of the biggest electoral upsets in Tamil Nadu history, echoing the watershed elections of 1967 and 1977. In 1967, C N Annadurai led the first non-Congress government in the state after Independence. A decade later, M G Ramachandran formed the first AIADMK government after unseating the DMK under M. Karunanidhi.

DMK faces unexpected setback
For the ruling DMK, the trends mark a significant setback. Most exit polls had projected an advantage for the MK Stalin-led alliance, citing welfare measures and incumbency strength. Instead, the party finds itself trailing the new entrant in overall leads.

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Early reports also indicate that around 15 cabinet ministers, including Chief Minister MK Stalin, are trailing at various stages of counting. Deputy Chief Minister Udhayanidhi Stalin is also reported behind in Chepauk-Tiruvallikeni, adding pressure on the ruling front.

AIADMK remains in the fight
AIADMK, led by Edappadi K Palaniswami, remains in contention with 51 leads and could still play a decisive role if the contest tightens further. The party is ahead in segments including Katpadi and Gudiyatham, while Palaniswami holds a strong margin in Edappadi.

The BJP is trailing in 26 constituencies and is ahead only in Thali. DMK is leading in pockets including Vellore, Anaikattu and Rishivandiyam, but remains under pressure overall.

If sustained, these trends point to a fundamental reshaping of Tamil Nadu politics. Since 1967, power in the state has largely alternated between the DMK and AIADMK. A strong TVK breakthrough would break that binary and establish Vijay as a disruptive new force in the state’s political order.

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